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    Adobe Inc (ADBE)

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    Adobe Inc. is a global technology company dedicated to transforming the world through personalized digital experiences. The company specializes in software products and services that facilitate content creation, customer experience management, and advertising solutions . Adobe operates through three main segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising, offering a range of tools and platforms for creative professionals and businesses .

    1. Digital Media - Offers products and services for content creation, publishing, and promotion, centered around Adobe Creative Cloud and Adobe Document Cloud. Key tools include Photoshop, Illustrator, Lightroom, Premiere Pro, and Acrobat .

      • Adobe Creative Cloud - Provides a suite of applications for graphic design, video editing, web development, and photography.
      • Adobe Document Cloud - Offers solutions for creating, editing, and managing PDF documents.
    2. Digital Experience - Provides an integrated platform through Adobe Experience Cloud, enabling businesses to manage customer experiences from analytics to commerce. Includes Adobe Experience Manager and Workfront .

      • Adobe Experience Manager - A comprehensive content management solution for building websites, mobile apps, and forms.
      • Workfront - A work management platform that helps teams collaborate and manage projects efficiently.
    3. Publishing and Advertising - Includes legacy products and services such as eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, and Adobe Advertising offerings .

      • eLearning Solutions - Tools for creating and managing online learning content.
      • Technical Document Publishing - Solutions for publishing complex documents and technical content.
      • Adobe Advertising - Offers advertising solutions to optimize media spend and improve campaign performance.
    Initial Price$567.05August 29, 2024
    Final Price$515.93November 29, 2024
    Price Change$-51.12
    % Change-9.02%

    What went well

    • Adobe is experiencing strong momentum in its enterprise segment, winning large transformational deals and achieving the largest bookings quarter ever.
    • Adobe's AI innovations, including Firefly models and AI Assistant, are seeing significant customer adoption, driving financial performance and positioning the company for strong growth ahead.
    • Adobe's Document Cloud continues to show strong growth and durability, with increased monthly active users and new AI features like AI Assistant driving adoption and expanding the product's value proposition.

    What went wrong

    • Despite significant innovation, Adobe's Creative Cloud growth was only 2%, and guidance indicates further deceleration, raising concerns about the company's ability to accelerate growth.
    • Investors are concerned about the lack of acceleration in Adobe's numbers, with the stock being a major underperformer on a year-to-date basis and down again in after-hours trading.
    • Potential pricing sensitivity is hindering Adobe's ability to leverage pricing as a growth driver, despite delivering significant value, which may impact profitability.

    Q&A Summary

    1. Growth Amid AI Innovation
      Q: Why isn't growth accelerating despite AI innovations?
      A: Shantanu Narayen acknowledged that while Adobe exceeded its targets for the year, investors might not see acceleration due to the business mix shifting. The core Creative business is performing in line with expectations, and significant adoption of AI offerings like Firefly Services and GenStudio is driving value. Adobe balances proliferation at the lower end with products like Express and Acrobat, and delivers significant value at the high end with Creative Pro and enterprise solutions. The company remains confident in its growth strategy and innovation pipeline.

    2. AI Growth Drivers and ARR Impact
      Q: How will Firefly and GenStudio drive growth in ARR?
      A: David Wadhwani explained that Firefly and GenStudio are key to Adobe's growth strategy. By introducing new value through AI integrations, Adobe can create more segmentation and tiering of Creative products, aligning value with pricing. This approach is expected to bring in new users and offer higher-value tiers, particularly with upcoming video models and enterprise solutions like GenStudio. New users, new products, and value-based pricing will be significant contributors to ARR growth in FY '25.

    3. Document Cloud Durability
      Q: How durable is Document Cloud's growth, and what drives it?
      A: David Wadhwani stated that Document Cloud's strong growth is rooted in PDF being the de facto standard for unstructured data. Monthly active users continue to grow due to effective conversion of free users to paid across desktop, mobile, and web platforms. The introduction of AI Assistant enhances Acrobat's value, transforming it into a general-purpose productivity platform. This, along with expansions into new languages and vertical use cases, drives durable growth in the Document Cloud segment.

    4. Pricing Strategy and Sensitivity
      Q: Is there pricing sensitivity limiting price increases?
      A: David Wadhwani explained that while there is price sensitivity, especially at the lower end of the market, Adobe sees significant opportunity to deliver new value and adjust pricing accordingly. The company focuses on introducing new features and creating more segmentation and tiering in its offerings, ensuring users are in the right plans for their needs. This strategy balances proliferation with monetization and is expected to drive growth.

    5. Firefly Integration and Conversion
      Q: How will integrating Firefly into core apps affect conversion?
      A: David Wadhwani highlighted that integrating Firefly across products like Photoshop and Lightroom enhances user onboarding and retention. The inclusion of generative AI capabilities leads to faster success for new users and increased retention for existing ones. By offering unique, commercially safe AI models deeply integrated into workflows, Adobe drives top-of-funnel growth and improves conversion rates.

    6. Consumption Models and ARR Growth
      Q: Will consumption contribute to ARR growth in FY '25?
      A: Shantanu Narayen indicated that consumption will contribute more to ARR growth in FY '25 through offerings like video, which will have consumption-based pricing. Enterprise solutions like GenStudio and Firefly Services are seeing significant momentum and are consumption-based. Additionally, the introduction of more premium-priced offerings provides users with more value without requiring them to monitor individual usage, contributing to ARR growth.

    7. Current RPO Growth Expectations
      Q: Will current RPO growth remain at current levels?
      A: Daniel Durn expressed confidence in Adobe's ability to drive business growth, citing strong enterprise bookings and momentum in premium products. While he did not provide specific guidance on current RPO, he is encouraged by the innovation and opportunities in both the Digital Media and Digital Experience segments, expecting continued growth driven by large transformational deals and cross-cloud opportunities.

    8. Black Friday Impact on ARR
      Q: Did Black Friday affect Creative Cloud ARR?
      A: Daniel Durn noted that Black Friday and Cyber Monday performed as expected, with consumer activity spreading over a larger window of time. Online shopping was up 8.4% this year compared to 4.8% last year. While Cyber Monday growth was 7.3%, down from 9.6% last year, this reflects a flattening profile in consumer behavior rather than a decline in demand.

    Guidance Changes

    Quarterly guidance for Q1 2025:

    • Total Adobe Revenue: $5.63B to $5.68B (raised from $5.50B to $5.55B )
    • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $4.17B to $4.20B (raised from $4.09B to $4.12B )
    • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $1.38B to $1.40B (raised from $1.36B to $1.38B )
    • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $1.27B to $1.29B (raised from $1.23B to $1.25B )
    • GAAP EPS: $3.85 to $3.90 (raised from $3.58 to $3.63 )
    • Non-GAAP EPS: $4.95 to $5.00 (raised from $4.63 to $4.68 )
    • Non-GAAP Operating Margin: Approximately 47% (no prior guidance)
    • Non-GAAP Tax Rate: Approximately 18.5% (no change from 18.5% )

    Annual guidance for FY 2025:

    • Total Adobe Revenue: $23.30B to $23.55B (no prior guidance)
    • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $17.25B to $17.40B (no prior guidance)
    • Digital Media Ending ARR Book of Business Growth: 11.0% year-over-year (no prior guidance)
    • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $5.80B to $5.90B (no prior guidance)
    • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $5.375B to $5.425B (no prior guidance)
    • GAAP EPS: $15.80 to $16.10 (no prior guidance)
    • Non-GAAP EPS: $20.20 to $20.50 (no prior guidance)
    • Non-GAAP Operating Margin: Approximately 46% (no prior guidance)
    • Non-GAAP Tax Rate: Approximately 18.5% (no prior guidance)
    NamePositionStart DateShort Bio
    Shantanu NarayenChair and Chief Executive OfficerJanuary 1998Shantanu Narayen joined Adobe in January 1998 and became CEO in December 2007. He was named Chair of the Board in January 2017 .
    Daniel DurnChief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Finance, Technology Services and OperationsOctober 2021Daniel Durn joined Adobe in October 2021. He previously held CFO roles at Applied Materials, Inc., NXP Semiconductors N.V., and GlobalFoundries .
    Anil ChakravarthyPresident, Digital ExperienceJanuary 2020Anil Chakravarthy joined Adobe in January 2020 and was appointed Executive Vice President and General Manager, Digital Experience Business and Worldwide Field Operations in July 2020 .
    David WadhwaniPresident, Digital MediaJune 2021David Wadhwani rejoined Adobe in June 2021. He previously served as CEO of AppDynamics and held senior roles at Adobe and Greylock Partners .
    Scott BelskyChief Strategy Officer and Executive Vice President, Design and Emerging ProductsMarch 2023Scott Belsky was named Chief Strategy Officer in March 2023. He joined Adobe in December 2017 through the acquisition of Behance .
    Gloria ChenChief People Officer and Executive Vice President, Employee Experience1997Gloria Chen joined Adobe in 1997 and has held various leadership roles. She became Chief People Officer in January 2020 .
    Dana RaoExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Chief Trust Officer and Corporate SecretaryApril 2012Dana Rao joined Adobe in April 2012 and initially served as Vice President, Intellectual Property and Litigation .
    Mark GarfieldSenior Vice President and Chief Accounting OfficerDecember 2018Mark Garfield joined Adobe in December 2018. He previously held senior finance roles at Cloudflare, Symantec, and Brightstar .
    Jillian ForuszSenior Vice President and Chief Accounting OfficerAugust 9, 2024Jillian Forusz will serve as SVP and CAO effective August 9, 2024 .
    1. In Q3, Document Cloud revenue grew 18% year-over-year with $163 million in net new ARR . Considering your plans to actively promote subscription plans over legacy perpetual plans that don't include generative AI capabilities, how do you expect this transition to affect your revenue growth and customer retention?

    2. You mentioned significant investments in AI model training and inferencing capacity while continuing to deliver world-class margins . How are these AI-related expenses impacting your operating margins, and what measures are you taking to maintain profitability amidst these increased costs?

    3. With the introduction of Firefly-powered features across products like Photoshop, Illustrator, and Adobe Express targeting a wide range of users , how are you addressing the challenge of serving such a diverse customer base without diluting the focus on your core professional users?

    4. In the Digital Experience segment, you achieved 12% year-over-year growth in subscription revenue , yet enterprises are seeking to maximize ROI on their marketing investments amidst macroeconomic conditions . Are you observing any signs of budget constraints among your enterprise customers, and how are you ensuring sustained growth in this segment?

    5. Given that total API calls for Firefly Services tripled quarter-over-quarter due to strong demand , what challenges do you anticipate in scaling these services, and how do you plan to manage infrastructure costs while ensuring service reliability and performance?

    Program DetailsProgram 1Program 2
    Approval DateDecember 2020 March 2024
    End Date/DurationFully utilized during the nine months ended August 30, 2024 Through March 14, 2028
    Total additional amount$15 billion $25 billion
    Remaining authorization amount$0 (fully utilized) $17.65 billion
    DetailsFully utilized To return value to stockholders and minimize dilution from stock issuances

    Q4 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q4 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2025 and Q1 2025
    • Guidance:
      • FY 2025:
        • Total Adobe Revenue: $23.30 billion to $23.55 billion .
        • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $17.25 billion to $17.40 billion .
        • Digital Media Ending ARR Book of Business Growth: 11.0% year-over-year .
        • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $5.80 billion to $5.90 billion .
        • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $5.375 billion to $5.425 billion .
        • GAAP EPS: $15.80 to $16.10 .
        • Non-GAAP EPS: $20.20 to $20.50 .
        • Non-GAAP Operating Margin: Approximately 46% .
        • Non-GAAP Tax Rate: Approximately 18.5% .
      • Q1 2025:
        • Total Adobe Revenue: $5.63 billion to $5.68 billion .
        • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $4.17 billion to $4.20 billion .
        • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $1.38 billion to $1.40 billion .
        • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $1.27 billion to $1.29 billion .
        • GAAP EPS: $3.85 to $3.90 .
        • Non-GAAP EPS: $4.95 to $5.00 .
        • Non-GAAP Operating Margin: Approximately 47% .
        • Non-GAAP Tax Rate: Approximately 18.5% .

    Q3 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q3 2024
    • Guided Period: Q4 2024
    • Guidance:
      • Total Adobe Revenue: $5.50 billion to $5.55 billion .
      • Digital Media Net New ARR: Approximately $550 million .
      • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $4.09 billion to $4.12 billion .
      • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $1.36 billion to $1.38 billion .
      • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $1.23 billion to $1.25 billion .
      • Tax Rate: Approximately 16% on a GAAP basis and 18.5% on a non-GAAP basis .
      • GAAP EPS: $3.58 to $3.63 .
      • Non-GAAP EPS: $4.63 to $4.68 .

    Q2 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q2 2024
    • Guided Period: Q3 2024 and FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      • Q3 2024:
        • Total Adobe Revenue: $5.33 billion to $5.38 billion .
        • Digital Media Net New ARR: Approximately $460 million .
        • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $3.95 billion to $3.98 billion .
        • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $1.325 billion to $1.345 billion .
        • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $1.20 billion to $1.22 billion .
        • Tax Rate: Approximately 18% on a GAAP basis and 18.5% on a non-GAAP basis .
        • GAAP EPS: $3.45 to $3.50 .
        • Non-GAAP EPS: $4.50 to $4.55 .
      • FY 2024:
        • Total Adobe Revenue: $21.40 billion to $21.50 billion .
        • Digital Media Net New ARR: Approximately $1.95 billion .
        • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $15.80 billion to $15.85 billion .
        • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $5.325 billion to $5.375 billion .
        • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $4.775 billion to $4.825 billion .
        • Tax Rate: Approximately 20.5% on a GAAP basis and 18.5% on a non-GAAP basis .
        • GAAP EPS: $11.80 to $12 .
        • Non-GAAP EPS: $18 to $18.20 .

    Q1 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q1 2024
    • Guided Period: Q2 2024 and FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      • Q2 2024:
        • Total Adobe Revenue: $5.25 billion to $5.30 billion .
        • Digital Media Net New ARR: Approximately $440 million .
        • Digital Media Segment Revenue: $3.87 billion to $3.90 billion .
        • Digital Experience Segment Revenue: $1.31 billion to $1.33 billion .
        • Digital Experience Subscription Revenue: $1.165 billion to $1.185 billion .
        • Tax Rate: Approximately 18.5% on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis .
        • GAAP EPS: $3.35 to $3.40 .
        • Non-GAAP EPS: $4.35 to $4.40 .

    Recent developments and announcements about ADBE.

    Financial Reporting

      Earnings Call

      ·
      Dec 12, 2024, 2:09 AM

      Adobe has released its Q4 and FY 2024 earnings call transcript, highlighting several key points:

      1. Revenue and Profit Performance: Adobe reported Q4 revenue of $5.61 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. The Digital Media segment achieved revenue of $4.15 billion, growing 12% year-over-year, while the Digital Experience segment reported subscription revenue of $1.27 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year . For FY 2024, Adobe's total revenue was $21.51 billion, with GAAP earnings per share of $12.36 and non-GAAP earnings per share of $18.42 .

      2. Management’s Forward Guidance: For FY 2025, Adobe targets total revenue between $23.30 billion and $23.55 billion, with GAAP earnings per share expected to be between $15.80 and $16.10, and non-GAAP earnings per share between $20.20 and $20.50. The company anticipates a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 46% .

      3. Market Conditions and Strategic Initiatives: Adobe continues to focus on AI innovations, with significant contributions from products like Firefly, Express, and GenStudio. The company is integrating these AI capabilities across its product suite to enhance customer experiences and drive growth . Adobe also highlighted its strategic initiative to help 30 million learners develop AI literacy and digital marketing skills .

      4. Analyst Questions and Management Responses: Analysts inquired about the impact of AI innovations on Adobe's growth, particularly regarding Firefly and GenStudio. Management emphasized the integration of AI across Adobe's offerings and its potential to drive new user acquisition and enhance existing customer value . Concerns about the pace of growth in Digital Media ARR were addressed by highlighting the strategic focus on both proliferation and monetization .

      5. Significant Comments on Market Conditions: Adobe noted record sales during Black Friday and Cyber Monday, reflecting strong digital commerce trends. The company expects the full holiday season to reach $240.8 billion in sales, an 8.4% increase year-over-year .

      Overall, Adobe's earnings call underscored its robust financial performance, strategic focus on AI-driven innovation, and positive outlook for FY 2025.

      Earnings Call

      ·
      Dec 12, 2024, 2:07 AM

      Adobe recently released its Q4 and FY 2024 earnings call transcript, highlighting several key points:

      1. Revenue and Profit Performance: Adobe reported Q4 revenue of $5.61 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. The Digital Media segment achieved revenue of $4.15 billion, growing 12% year-over-year, while the Digital Experience segment reported subscription revenue of $1.27 billion, a 12% increase from the previous year .

      2. Management’s Forward Guidance: For FY 2025, Adobe targets total revenue between $23.30 billion and $23.55 billion, with Digital Media segment revenue projected at $17.25 billion to $17.40 billion. The company expects GAAP earnings per share to range from $15.80 to $16.10 and non-GAAP earnings per share from $20.20 to $20.50 .

      3. Market Conditions and Strategic Initiatives: Adobe continues to focus on AI innovations, with significant contributions from products like Firefly, Express, and GenStudio. The company is integrating these AI capabilities across its product suite to enhance customer experiences and drive growth .

      4. Analyst Questions and Management Responses: Analysts inquired about the impact of AI innovations on Adobe's growth trajectory and the potential for increased ARR through new offerings like Firefly and GenStudio. Management emphasized the strategic integration of AI across its platforms and the expected acceleration in ARR growth due to these innovations .

      5. Significant Comments on Market Conditions: Adobe noted record sales during Black Friday and Cyber Monday, reflecting strong consumer demand and digital engagement. The company is optimistic about continuing this momentum into 2025, leveraging its comprehensive suite of digital solutions .

      Overall, Adobe's earnings call highlighted robust financial performance, strategic focus on AI-driven innovation, and positive market conditions, setting a strong foundation for future growth.

      Earnings Report

      ·
      Dec 11, 2024, 9:37 PM

      Adobe has released its earnings results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024, reporting record revenue and significant financial performance metrics. For the fourth quarter, Adobe achieved a revenue of $5.61 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. The company's GAAP diluted earnings per share was $3.79, while the non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $4.81. Adobe's operating income for the quarter was $1.96 billion on a GAAP basis and $2.60 billion on a non-GAAP basis. The net income was $1.68 billion GAAP and $2.13 billion non-GAAP .

      For the entire fiscal year 2024, Adobe reported a total revenue of $21.51 billion, which also represents an 11% year-over-year growth. The GAAP operating income was $6.74 billion, and the non-GAAP operating income was $10.02 billion. The GAAP net income was $5.56 billion, and the non-GAAP net income was $8.28 billion. Adobe generated $8.06 billion in operating cash flows during the year .

      Significant trends affecting Adobe's financial performance include strong demand for its Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud products, which are crucial in the AI economy. The company also highlighted its record operating cash flows of $2.92 billion for the fourth quarter and a record RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations) of $19.96 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth .

      Adobe's Digital Media segment revenue was $4.15 billion for the quarter, with Document Cloud revenue at $843 million and Creative revenue at $3.30 billion. The Digital Experience segment revenue was $1.40 billion .

      Overall, Adobe's strategy, AI innovation, and cross-cloud opportunities are positioning the company well for future growth, with expectations for continued strong performance into 2025 .