EA
ELECTRONIC ARTS INC. (EA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 was mixed: GAAP EPS of $1.11 beat guidance while net bookings of $2.215B missed prior Q3 guidance due to softer EA SPORTS FC 25 acquisition and competitive-cohort engagement; Dragon Age underperformed versus expectations .
- Management lowered FY25 outlook: net bookings to $7.0–$7.15B (from $7.5–$7.8B) and GAAP net revenue to $7.25–$7.40B; non-GAAP operating margin still targeted at ~30.5–31.6% and ASR of $1B announced to support capital returns (total buybacks expected at $2.5B in year one) .
- EA SPORTS FC momentum turned positive post Jan 16 gameplay update; over 2M Ultimate Team players reactivated and Team of the Year event delivered record weekly active users, informing a prudent but optimistic Q4 guide and FY26 return to growth narrative .
- American Football ecosystem remained strong, on pace to surpass $1B in FY25 net bookings; Apex Legends tracked in-line with expectations albeit down YoY; Sims delivered growth and broader engagement initiatives continue (EA Sports app, TRACAB acquisition, Battlefield Labs) .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: ASR ($1B), record engagement events for FC, College Football momentum, and Battlefield Labs community testing ahead of FY26 launch window .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- American Football: weekly active users and total unique spenders up double digits in Q3; business remains on track to exceed $1B in FY25 net bookings .
- EA SPORTS FC turnaround: January 16 gameplay update plus Team of the Year reactivated >2M Ultimate Team players and drove year-over-year net bookings growth during the event; record weekly active users over the event weekend .
- Capital returns and margins: announced $1B ASR (total $2.5B buybacks in year one of $5B authorization); GAAP operating margin 20.0% and non-GAAP operating margin 30.1% in Q3 .
What Went Wrong
- EA SPORTS FC 25 underperformance: softer top-of-funnel acquisition (players stayed on prior iterations) and accelerated engagement churn in competitive cohort; global football net bookings down mid-single digits YoY in Q3 .
- Dragon Age: The Veilguard engagement fell ~50% short of expectations in quarter; title underperformed financial plan in a competitive single-player RPG market .
- Apex Legends: net bookings down YoY and below original ambition; monetization mix evolving and content cadence adjustments in progress; Q4 expected declines in Apex contribute to guide prudence .
Financial Results
Core Financials vs prior year and prior quarter
Actual vs Prior Q3 Guidance (midpoint)
Bold interpretations: Net bookings and net revenue missed guidance midpoints; EPS beat guidance range. The shortfalls were driven by FC acquisition softness and cohort churn; EPS benefited from lower OpEx and cost mix .
Segment and Platform Mix
KPIs and Cash Returns
Guidance Changes
Drivers: Outlook cuts reflect FC HD declines in December/early January and Dragon Age shortfall; prudence maintained despite January update momentum and event pipeline .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We consider this to be a temporary moment, not structural. Our global football franchise net bookings have grown over 70% over the last 5 fiscal years… FY’25 is still expected to be the second biggest year for the franchise.” – Andrew Wilson, CEO .
- “Since the gameplay release, we have seen a significant turnaround… competitive cohorts trending towards prior year levels… net bookings up year-over-year during the event.” – Stuart Canfield, CFO .
- “Today, we’re announcing our plans for a $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase… bringing total stock repurchases to $2.5 billion in the first year of our $5 billion authorization.” – Stuart Canfield, CFO .
- “We reached an agreement to acquire TRACAB technologies… best-in-class optical sports tracking… extend EA Sports’ lead.” – Andrew Wilson, CEO .
- “Battlefield Labs… community testing program… response… overwhelmingly positive.” – Andrew Wilson, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- FC acquisition and engagement: Underperformance linked to players staying on prior iterations and defensive gameplay balance; large January update addressed cohort concerns, reactivating 2M Ultimate Team players and delivering record event metrics .
- Battlefield Labs reception: Community response exceeded expectations; team using Labs to tune and validate at scale; flexible FY26 timing to optimize launch window .
- Apex roadmap: Supporting core community, season content getting larger; contemplating a more meaningful update post-Battlefield; longer-term “Apex 2.0” vision .
- College Football and American Football growth: Ecosystem synergy (Madden + College) fueling broader player base; expectation to grow in FY26 even excluding Battlefield .
- Rush mode and technical stability: Rush is the second most played FC mode and additive to monetization; overall server stability comparable or better than prior iterations .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 FY25 could not be retrieved due to SPGI request limits; as a result, we cannot compare actual results to Street consensus at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to system constraints.
- Directionally, versus EA’s prior Q3 guidance midpoints: net bookings and net revenue missed; EPS exceeded the range, aided by lower OpEx and cost mix .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- FC underperformance appears transitory; post-update event metrics and reactivation suggest improving engagement heading into Q4, supporting a FY26 rebound narrative .
- American Football remains a structural growth pillar, with FY25 net bookings on pace >$1B and ecosystem synergies (MVP bundle, connected modes) sustaining momentum into FY26 .
- FY25 guidance reset de-risks near term; management is balancing investment with discipline (lower OpEx, ASR), targeting non-GAAP margins >30% and cash generation resilience .
- Apex is being managed for stability now, with larger seasonal drops and potential step-change innovation post-Battlefield; upside optionality if systemic updates re-accelerate engagement .
- Battlefield Labs and TRACAB acquisition reinforce EA’s technology and community-centric development; flexible FY26 launch timing mitigates competitive calendar risks .
- The Sims and EA Sports app strategy broaden multi-modal engagement and UGC, expanding TAM beyond core gameplay toward create/watch/connect experiences .
- Near-term trading: ASR buyback and positive FC event momentum are supportive; monitor Q4 FC HD performance versus prudent guide, Apex Season 24 progression, and any additional pipeline clarity in May .