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Moderna (MRNA)

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Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for Moderna.

Research analysts who have asked questions during Moderna earnings calls.

CB

Courtney Breen

AllianceBernstein

8 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, BMY +4 more
HW

Huidong Wang

Barclays

6 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, BCRX, BEAM +15 more
Salveen Richter

Salveen Richter

Goldman Sachs

6 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ACAD, AGIO, ALLO +21 more
EM

Eliana Merle

UBS

5 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, APLS, ARVN +17 more
LI

Luca Issi

RBC Capital Markets

5 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ADVM, ALLO, ALNY +13 more
TV

Tyler Van Buren

TD Cowen

5 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ADVM, ALLO, ARGX +13 more
Michael Yee

Michael Yee

Jefferies

4 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, ALLO, AMGN +19 more
Terence Flynn

Terence Flynn

Morgan Stanley

4 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, ARVN +17 more
MM

Myles Minter

William Blair & Company

3 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALEC, ALNY, ARCT +12 more
Cory Kasimov

Cory Kasimov

Evercore ISI

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, BBIO, BMRN +7 more
Cory William Kasimov

Cory William Kasimov

Evercore

2 questions for MRNA

ET

Edward Tenthoff

Piper Sandler Companies

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ARVN, ARWR, CAPR +17 more
EW

Elizabeth Webster

Goldman Sachs

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: TSHA
Geoff Meacham

Geoff Meacham

Citigroup Inc.

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, AMLX +12 more
GF

Greg Fraser

TD Cowen

2 questions for MRNA

JF

Jessica Five

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: CRNX
Matthew Guggenbiller

Matthew Guggenbiller

Bank of America

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: AGIO, NTLA
Shelby Hill

Shelby Hill

RBC Capital Markets

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: RARE
Ao

Adi on

Evercore ISI

1 question for MRNA

AJ

Adithya Jayaraman

Evercore

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY
C

Chris

Morgan Stanley

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: GILD, REGN, VRTX
DE

Dina Elmonshed

Jefferies Financial Group

1 question for MRNA

EM

Ellie Merle

UBS Group AG

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, ALT, ARVN +12 more
EW

Evan Wang

Guggenheim Securities

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ARCT, BOLD, IVA +2 more
GW

Greg Wiessner

TD Cowen

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: TVTX
JO

Jarvi On

Citigroup

1 question for MRNA

JF

Jessica Fye

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ALKS, ALNY, AMRN +23 more
MS

Manuel Smithers

Deutsche Bank

1 question for MRNA

Mike Yee

Mike Yee

Jefferies

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: BIIB
SB

Simon Baker

Redburn Atlantic

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: AUTL, AZN, BNTX +5 more
S

Solve

RBC Capital Markets

1 question for MRNA

TA

Timothy Anderson

BofA Securities

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, AZN +10 more

Recent press releases and 8-K filings for MRNA.

Moderna settles patent litigation with Arbutus/Genevant
MRNA
Legal Proceedings
  • On March 3, 2026, Moderna entered a settlement agreement with Arbutus Biopharma and Genevant Sciences to resolve all U.S. and international patent infringement litigation over Spikevax and related mRNA vaccines.
  • Under the agreement, Moderna will make a $950 million noncontingent lump‐sum payment to Arbutus/Genevant on or before July 8, 2026.
  • Moderna may owe up to an additional $1.3 billion contingent payment based on the Federal Circuit’s decision regarding Section 1498 infringement claims, with proration and repayment provisions if outcomes are later overturned.
  • The settlement grants Moderna a fully paid‐up, royalty‐free, irrevocable, non‐exclusive, worldwide license and covenant not to sue under Arbutus/Genevant patents covering SM-102 LNP formulations for its infectious disease vaccines, plus mutual releases.
14 hours ago
Moderna settles LNP patent dispute
MRNA
Legal Proceedings
  • Moderna reached a global settlement with Genevant Sciences and Arbutus Biopharma, agreeing to pay up to $2.25 billion$950 million upfront and up to $1.3 billion contingent on appellate rulings, while preserving a government-contractor immunity defense.
  • The agreement grants Moderna a global license covering existing and future vaccines (including Spikevax and mRESVIA) with no further royalties, resolving all LNP-related litigation.
  • Moderna will take a charge in the current quarter for the initial payment, make the lump-sum payment in Q3 2026, and, if required by appellate outcomes, promptly pay the contingent amount.
  • Shares jumped about 10% in extended trading after the announcement.
2 days ago
Moderna provides 2025 results and outlines 2026 guidance at TD Cowen Healthcare Conference
MRNA
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • 2025 product revenue reached $1.9 billion, at the high end of the $1.6–$2.0 billion guidance, driven by over 30 million US COVID vaccinations and mNEXSPIKE’s 24% US retail share.
  • 2026 product revenue guidance of 0.1–10% growth implies $2.0 billion at midpoint, split as $1.0 billion US (vs $1.2 billion in 2025) and $1.0 billion ex-US (vs $0.7 billion in 2025) based on strategic partnerships.
  • Path to cash flow break-even by 2028 assumes controlling cash operating expenses to $3.7 billion in 2027 and executing “10 shots on goal” across vaccines (flu, flu+COVID, RSV, norovirus), international expansion and new modalities.
  • Regulatory progress includes FDA BLA acceptance for the mRNA-1010 flu vaccine with a post-marketing real-world evidence study , CHMP positive opinion for the flu+COVID combo in Europe , and a planned norovirus interim readout in 2026.
  • Oncology pipeline advances with INT adjuvant melanoma trial fully enrolled in September 2024 and a potential pivotal readout in 2026, alongside Phase III trials in RCC and bladder cancer.
2 days ago
Moderna presents 2025 results and 2026 outlook
MRNA
Guidance Update
  • Moderna delivered $1.9 B in product revenue for 2025, hitting the high end of guidance, with $1.2 B in U.S. sales and $700 M ex-U.S., driven by mNEXSPIKE’s strong efficacy and 24% U.S. retail share amid 30 M Americans vaccinated.
  • 2026 revenue guidance of up to 10% growth implies roughly $2 B total product revenue, split 50/50 between U.S. (planning ~$1 B, down from $1.2 B) and ex-U.S. (up to $1 B on strategic partnerships in the UK, Canada, Australia).
  • Path to cash-flow break-even by 2028 relies on controlling cash costs to $3.7 B in 2027 and driving growth across a diversified portfolio—flu, flu/COVID combo, RSV, norovirus, oncology (INT), and rare disease programs.
  • Regulatory progress includes an unexpected RTF/BLA sequence for the standalone flu vaccine with PDUFA in August 2026 and a positive CHMP opinion for the flu/COVID combo in Europe; neither is expected to contribute revenue in 2026.
  • The oncology vaccine INT adjuvant melanoma Phase 3 trial, fully enrolled in Sept 2024, could read out in 2026; Phase 2 showed 49% 5-year RFS and 62% DMFS, and additional Phase 3 trials in RCC and bladder cancer are fully enrolled.
2 days ago
Moderna updates 2025 results and 2026 guidance at TD Cowen conference
MRNA
Guidance Update
Product Launch
  • 2025 product revenue of $1.9 billion, at the high end of guidance ($1.6–2.0 billion), driven by mNEXSPIKE capturing 24% of U.S. retail share and ~30 million U.S. COVID vaccinations.
  • 2026 revenue guidance of 0.1%–10% growth (midpoint ~$2 billion) assumes U.S. sales slip from $1.2 billion to ~$1 billion while ex-U.S. rises from $700 million to ~$1 billion via partnerships in UK, Canada and Australia, including ~$200 million shifting into H1 2026.
  • To achieve cash-flow break-even by 2028, Moderna targets reducing 2027 cash costs to $3.7 billion through roll-off of development programs and disciplined capital investments.
  • Key growth drivers include the mRNA-1010 flu vaccine BLA (Aug 2026 PDUFA), positive CHMP for flu+COVID combo in Europe, and pivotal INT melanoma trial readout potentially in 2026.
  • AI-driven digital transformation lowered 2025 cash costs to $4.3 billion versus $5.5 billion guided and reduced working capital to $150 million.
2 days ago
Moderna gets EU backing for combo COVID-flu vaccine, FDA review set
MRNA
Product Launch
Demand Weakening
  • The European Medicines Agency recommended marketing authorization for mCombriax, Moderna’s combined COVID-19 and influenza mRNA vaccine for people aged 50+, based on late-stage data from roughly 8,000 participants.
  • The FDA initially issued a refusal to file for Moderna’s standalone mRNA flu shot over comparator choices before reversing its decision; Moderna also withdrew its U.S. combo application to gather additional efficacy data.
  • Moderna is now pursuing full U.S. approval of its flu vaccine for adults 50–64 and accelerated approval for those 65+ contingent on a post-market study.
  • The EU recommendation offers a key commercial avenue as Moderna rebuilds revenue after COVID-19 vaccine demand fell and shares have dropped nearly 90% from their 2021 highs.
7 days ago
Moderna announces Q4 2025 results
MRNA
Earnings
Guidance Update
Product Launch
  • Moderna reported 4Q25 total revenue of $678 M, down 30% year-over-year, with a net loss of $826 M and cash and investments of $8.1 B as of December 31, 2025.
  • For full-year 2025, revenue was $1.9 B, net loss $2.8 B, and Moderna realized $2.2 B in annual cost savings, ending the year with $8.1 B in cash and investments.
  • Moderna’s 2026 GAAP financial framework contemplates up to 10% revenue growth, cost of sales of ~$0.9 B, R&D of ~$3.0 B, SG&A of ~$1.0 B, cash cost target of $4.2 B, and year-end cash and investments of $5.5–6.0 B.
  • Commercially, Moderna achieved a successful mNEXSPIKE launch and secured long-term strategic partnerships (UK, Canada, Australia, Mexico), while advancing its late-stage oncology and infectious disease pipeline with positive data readouts in melanoma and norovirus programs.
Feb 13, 2026, 1:00 PM
Moderna announces Q4 and full-year 2025 results
MRNA
Earnings
Guidance Update
  • Moderna reported Q4 revenue of $700 million and full-year 2025 revenue of $1.9 billion, driven primarily by COVID vaccine sales, with a Q4 net loss of $800 million and full-year net loss of $2.8 billion.
  • The company ended 2025 with $8.1 billion in cash and investments, down from $9.5 billion at end-2024.
  • For 2026, Moderna forecasts up to 10% revenue growth, cost of sales of $900 million, R&D spend of $3 billion, SG&A of $1 billion, capital expenditures of $200–300 million, and expects to finish the year with $5.5–6 billion in cash.
  • Commercially, mNEXSPIKE captured 24% of the US COVID retail market in its launch season, and Moderna secured multi-year manufacturing partnerships in the UK, Canada and Australia to support vaccine supply.
  • Regulatory filings for its seasonal flu and flu-COVID combination vaccines are under review in Europe, Canada and Australia, with first approvals expected late 2026 or early 2027.
Feb 13, 2026, 1:00 PM
Moderna reports Q4 2025 results
MRNA
Earnings
Guidance Update
Product Launch
  • Total revenue for Q4 was $700 million and full-year 2025 revenue reached $1.9 billion; Q4 net loss was $800 million, with 2025 net loss of $2.8 billion, ending the year with $8.1 billion in cash and investments.
  • Operating expenses declined by $2.2 billion (30%) in 2025, reflecting productivity gains and cost discipline.
  • 2026 guidance anticipates up to 10% revenue growth, with cost of sales of ~$900 million, R&D spend of ~$3 billion, SG&A of ~$1 billion, and year-end cash projected at $5.5 – 6 billion.
  • mNEXSPIKE captured 24% of the US retail COVID market (34% in adults ≥ 65) in its launch year, and full-year contributions from manufacturing partnerships in the UK, Canada, and Australia will drive growth in 2026.
  • Pipeline progress includes flu and flu-COVID combo vaccines under review in Europe, Canada, and Australia, a US refusal-to-file letter on the flu program, positive 5-year phase II melanoma data, and a fully enrolled phase III norovirus trial.
Feb 13, 2026, 1:00 PM
Moderna reports Q4 2025 results
MRNA
Earnings
Guidance Update
Product Launch
  • Moderna delivered $700 million in revenue in Q4 and $1.9 billion for full-year 2025, driven primarily by COVID-19 vaccines; operating expenses were down 31% in Q4 and 30% for the year, resulting in a Q4 net loss of $800 million (versus $1.1 billion in Q4 2024) and a full-year net loss of $2.8 billion (versus $3.6 billion in 2024).
  • The company ended 2025 with $8.1 billion in cash and investments, down from $9.5 billion at end-2024, and drew $600 million on its $1.5 billion credit facility.
  • For 2026, Moderna forecasts up to 10% revenue growth, with cost of sales of ~$900 million, R&D of ~$3 billion, SG&A of ~$1 billion, total GAAP operating expenses of $4.9 billion, cash costs of $4.2 billion, and expects to finish the year with $5.5 billion–$6 billion in cash.
  • Commercial momentum includes mNEXSPIKE capturing 24% of the U.S. retail COVID market (34% among adults 65+) in its launch year, new strategic partnerships in the U.K., Canada, and Australia, and ongoing regulatory reviews for its flu and flu-COVID vaccines, while the pipeline advanced with full enrollment in multiple late-stage oncology and a phase III norovirus trial.
Feb 13, 2026, 1:00 PM