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Moderna (MRNA)

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Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for Moderna.

Research analysts who have asked questions during Moderna earnings calls.

CB

Courtney Breen

AllianceBernstein

6 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, BMY +4 more
HW

Huidong Wang

Barclays

6 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, BCRX, BEAM +15 more
Salveen Richter

Salveen Richter

Goldman Sachs

6 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ACAD, AGIO, ALLO +20 more
LI

Luca Issi

RBC Capital Markets

5 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ADVM, ALLO, ALNY +12 more
TV

Tyler Van Buren

TD Cowen

5 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ADVM, ALLO, ARQT +12 more
EM

Eliana Merle

UBS

3 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, APLS, ARVN +17 more
MM

Myles Minter

William Blair & Company

3 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALEC, ARCT, ARGX +11 more
Cory Kasimov

Cory Kasimov

Evercore ISI

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: BBIO, BMRN, BNTX +5 more
Cory William Kasimov

Cory William Kasimov

Evercore

2 questions for MRNA

ET

Edward Tenthoff

Piper Sandler Companies

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ARVN, ARWR, CAPR +14 more
Geoff Meacham

Geoff Meacham

Citigroup Inc.

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, BMY +8 more
JF

Jessica Five

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: CRNX
Michael Yee

Michael Yee

Jefferies

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ALLO, AMGN, BEAM +14 more
Terence Flynn

Terence Flynn

Morgan Stanley

2 questions for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, ARVN +17 more
Ao

Adi on

Evercore ISI

1 question for MRNA

C

Chris

Morgan Stanley

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: GILD, REGN, VRTX
DE

Dina Elmonshed

Jefferies Financial Group

1 question for MRNA

EM

Ellie Merle

UBS Group AG

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ALNY, ALT, ARVN +12 more
EW

Evan Wang

Guggenheim Securities

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ARCT, BOLD, IVA +1 more
GW

Greg Wiessner

TD Cowen

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: TVTX
JO

Jarvi On

Citigroup

1 question for MRNA

JF

Jessica Fye

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ALKS, ALNY, AMRN +23 more
MS

Manuel Smithers

Deutsche Bank

1 question for MRNA

Mike Yee

Mike Yee

Jefferies

1 question for MRNA

SB

Simon Baker

Redburn Atlantic

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: AUTL, AZN, BNTX +5 more
S

Solve

RBC Capital Markets

1 question for MRNA

TA

Timothy Anderson

BofA Securities

1 question for MRNA

Also covers: ABBV, AMGN, AZN +10 more

Recent press releases and 8-K filings for MRNA.

Roivant updates pipeline progress and outlook at 2025 Investor Day
MRNA
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • Accelerated brepocitinib timelines: NDA filing for dermatomyositis now expected in early CY 2026 with launch early CY 2027; topline data for non-infectious uveitis in H2 2026 and cutaneous sarcoidosis in H1 2026.
  • IMVT-1402 advances and financing: Registrational trial in difficult-to-treat RA topline data now due in CY 2026, and a Roivant-led Immunovant financing raised $550 million, extending cash runway to the Graves’ disease launch.
  • Mosliciguat Phase 2 on track: Pulmonary hypertension-ILD trial enrollment remains on schedule with topline data in H2 2026 and a combo study with inhaled treprostinil to start imminently.
  • Genevant litigation update: US Moderna case set for jury trial in March 2026; ex-US Pfizer/BioNTech proceedings expected in CY 2026.
Dec 11, 2025, 12:30 PM
Moderna outlines 2025 guidance and pipeline at Piper Sandler Healthcare Conference
MRNA
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
Debt Issuance
  • Moderna guided $1.6–$2.0 billion COVID vaccine revenue for 2025, comprising $1.0–$1.3 billion U.S. and $600–$700 million ex-U.S., with vaccination rates down ~27–28% Y/Y.
  • Seasonal vaccine filings include mRNA flu submissions by January targeting a 2027 launch, and a COVID/flu combination vaccine under review in Europe aiming for 2026–2027 approval.
  • RSV vaccine mRESVIA has seen a slow start amid market contraction and channel inventory ahead of revaccination guidance expected in the next 1–2 years ; norovirus candidate mRNA-1403 is in phase III, with a new cohort running into spring 2026 and an interim efficacy analysis planned next year.
  • Oncology programs include a 50/50 partnership with Merck on individualized neoantigen therapy, phase III melanoma enrollment completed Sept 2024 with a 2026 data readout ; off-the-shelf 4359 vaccine showed a 67% response rate in phase I, and T-cell engager and in vivo cell therapy studies are underway.
  • Financial position: ended Q3 2025 with $6.6 billion cash, secured a $1.5 billion five-year credit facility with Ares (drawing $600 million upfront at ~1% interest) to support operations toward break-even in 2028.
Dec 2, 2025, 4:00 PM
Moderna outlines commercial outlook and pipeline at Healthcare Conference
MRNA
Guidance Update
Product Launch
Debt Issuance
  • 2025 COVID vaccine revenue guidance of $1.6–$2.0 billion, including $1.0–$1.3 billion in the US and $0.6–$0.7 billion ex-US, with vaccination rates down ~28% supporting confidence in the full-year outlook.
  • Seasonal flu filings to be completed by January for a 2027 market launch, with Phase III data showing 26.6% higher efficacy vs. standard-dose vaccines.
  • Pipeline advancement: norovirus vaccine mRNA-1403 Phase III resumed with an interim efficacy readout expected in 2026 ; oncology 50/50 Merck partnership individualized neoantigen therapy targets Phase III melanoma data and Phase II RCC readout in 2026.
  • Secured a $1.5 billion five-year credit facility with Ares, drawing $600 million upfront of non-dilutive financing to support R&D and operations en route to breaking even by 2028.
Dec 2, 2025, 4:00 PM
Moderna outlines 2025 guidance and pipeline progress
MRNA
Guidance Update
Debt Issuance
New Projects/Investments
  • Moderna guides $1.6–2.0 B in 2025 COVID vaccine revenue (US $1–1.3 B; ex-US $600–700 M) and maintains confidence despite a 27% drop in vaccination rates.
  • MNEXP Spike (new COVID booster) captures 55% market share vs Spikevax’s 45% after June approval, prompting doubled production for 2025.
  • Moderna will file its mRNA seasonal flu vaccine globally by January for a 2027 launch; its combination COVID/flu vaccine is under EU review with potential 2026/27 approval.
  • Pipeline milestones include Phase 3 melanoma cancer vaccine data with Merck expected in 2026, and propionic acidemia gene therapy readout in 2026/27 targeting a 2028 launch.
  • The company drew $600 M on a $1.5 B credit facility with Ares at low cost to extend its cash runway, still targeting breakeven in 2028.
Dec 2, 2025, 4:00 PM
Moderna enters $1.5 billion Credit and Guaranty Agreement
MRNA
Debt Issuance
  • On November 19, 2025, Moderna, Inc. and certain subsidiary guarantors executed a $1.5 billion Credit and Guaranty Agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by Ares Capital Corporation and Ares Capital Management LLC.
  • Ares Capital Corporation will serve as Administrative Agent and Collateral Agent, and Ares Capital Management LLC as Sole Lead Arranger and Sole Bookrunner for the facility.
  • The facility includes initial term loans issued at an original issue discount under Sections 1272–1275 of the Internal Revenue Code.
  • The agreement is filed as Exhibit 10.1 to the 8-K report on November 24, 2025.
Nov 24, 2025, 9:29 PM
Moderna Analyst Day 2025 Update
MRNA
Guidance Update
Debt Issuance
Product Launch
  • Moderna projects 2025 revenue of $1.6–2.0 billion, with U.S. sales $1.0–1.3 billion, and anticipates >10% revenue growth in 2026 driven by geographic expansion and new products.
  • Cash costs have been cut to $4.6 billion in 2025 (down from $5.5 billion), targeting $3.7 billion in 2027, paving the way for cash break-even in 2028.
  • The mNEXSPIKE COVID booster, approved mid-2025, has secured 23% of U.S. retail shots YTD (≈33% in ≥65 age group); EU, Canada, Australia, Japan, and Taiwan approvals are pending for 2026 launches.
  • Long-term manufacturing and supply partnerships in the U.K. (69 M lives), Canada (41 M), and Australia (27 M) begin delivering in 2025–26, with EU market entry and Brazil collaboration slated for 2027.
  • Moderna secured a $600 million delayed-draw term loan (5-year facility, ~10% spread), boosting 2025 year-end liquidity to ~$8 billion for strategic flexibility.
Nov 20, 2025, 2:00 PM
Moderna outlines 2025 Analyst Day strategy
MRNA
Debt Issuance
New Projects/Investments
  • Moderna’s seasonal respiratory vaccine franchise, now with three approved products, is positioned to leverage mRNA speed and scale to serve the growing ≥65 population and improve gross margins through increased volume and productivity gains.
  • Manufacturing network consolidation: mRNA drug substance is produced at Norwood (MA) and by Rovi (Spain), with new drug product (DP) capacity added in Norwood; three identical DP sites in Lavelle (Canada), Harwell (UK), and Clayton (Australia) enhance cost efficiency and supply reliability.
  • Financial guidance: 2025 revenue narrowed to $1.6 billion–$2.0 billion, with cash R&D and operating costs cut to $4.6 billion, further reduced to $3.7 billion by 2027, targeting cash break-even by 2028.
  • Balance sheet strengthened via a $1.5 billion non-dilutive term loan (initial draw $600 million at SOFR + 550 bp), boosting year-end 2025 liquidity to over $8 billion and preserving strategic flexibility.
  • Cash flow from vaccines to fund pipeline growth: Intismeran (oncology IO) pivotal data expected in 2026 for a potential 2027 launch, and Propionic Acidemia rare disease study fully enrolled for a 2028 launch.
Nov 20, 2025, 2:00 PM
Moderna outlines growth strategy and financial outlook at 2025 Analyst Day
MRNA
Guidance Update
Product Launch
Debt Issuance
  • Moderna will build a seasonal respiratory vaccine franchise targeting high-risk populations—leveraging three approved products (flu, flu + COVID, RSV) to generate cash flow for oncology and rare disease R&D.
  • Strategic on-shoring deals in the U.K. (69 M lives), Canada (41 M lives) and Australia (27 M lives) begin delivering in 2026, including $0.2 B revenue in Q1 2026, with disciplined expansion into Europe thereafter.
  • mNEXSPIKE captured 23% of U.S. retail COVID shots in its first year, and Moderna plans flu monovalent launches in 2027 plus flu + COVID combo and norovirus pivotal data in 2026.
  • Moderna’s cash costs are guided down from $5.1 B in 2025 to $3.7 B in 2027, aiming for cash-flow break-even by 2028, and has secured a $600 M delayed-draw term loan (SOFR + 550 bps) to bolster liquidity above $8 B into 2026.
Nov 20, 2025, 2:00 PM
Moderna targets 2026 revenue growth and outlines pipeline expansion
MRNA
Guidance Update
Product Launch
New Projects/Investments
  • Moderna is aiming for up to 10% revenue growth in 2026, fueled by its marketed vaccines and new long-term partnerships in the UK, Canada and Australia.
  • The company plans to expand its seasonal vaccine franchise from three to as many as six approved products by 2028, including influenza, flu/COVID combination and Norovirus vaccines.
  • Moderna targets readouts from nine ongoing Phase 2 and Phase 3 oncology studies, notably three Phase 3 trials for its intismeran autogene program.
  • It expects to reduce GAAP operating expenses by approximately $0.5 billion in both 2026 and 2027, with a path to cash breakeven by 2028.
Nov 20, 2025, 12:12 PM
Moderna expands U.S. drug manufacturing facility
MRNA
New Projects/Investments
  • $140 million investment to integrate Drug Product manufacturing at its Norwood, MA center, completing end-to-end domestic mRNA production
  • Construction is underway, with the facility slated to be operational by 1H 2027, boosting capacity for commercial and clinical supply
  • Project will create hundreds of skilled biomanufacturing jobs in the region, strengthening the local workforce
  • Despite a -141.51% net margin and declining revenue growth, Moderna’s strong liquidity (cash exceeds debt; current ratio of 3.93) underpins this expansion
Nov 19, 2025, 2:41 PM