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CARRIER GLOBAL (CARR)

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Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for CARRIER GLOBAL.

Research analysts who have asked questions during CARRIER GLOBAL earnings calls.

Andrew Kaplowitz

Andrew Kaplowitz

Citigroup

8 questions for CARR

Also covers: ACM, AOS, APG +29 more
Christopher Snyder

Christopher Snyder

Morgan Stanley

8 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALH, ALLE, AME +21 more
Deane Dray

Deane Dray

RBC Capital Markets

8 questions for CARR

Also covers: AME, ATKR, DOV +21 more
JM

Julian Mitchell

Barclays Investment Bank

8 questions for CARR

Also covers: AIRJ, ALLE, AME +26 more
NC

Nigel Coe

Wolfe Research, LLC

8 questions for CARR

Also covers: AME, CNM, DOV +28 more
Amit Mehrotra

Amit Mehrotra

UBS

6 questions for CARR

Also covers: CR, DOV, EMR +13 more
JS

Jeffrey Sprague

Vertical Research Partners

6 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALLE, AME, AYI +23 more
AO

Andrew Obin

Bank of America

5 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALH, ALLE, AME +17 more
Joe Ritchie

Joe Ritchie

Goldman Sachs

5 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALLE, ATS, CNM +19 more
SD

Scott Davis

Melius Research

5 questions for CARR

Also covers: DD, DHR, DOV +16 more
ST

Steve Tusa

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

5 questions for CARR

Also covers: AIN, ALTR, DD +15 more
CS

C. Stephen Tusa

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

3 questions for CARR

Also covers: ADSK, ANSS, APG +17 more
JO

Joseph O'Dea

Wells Fargo & Company

3 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALLE, ATMU, AYI +15 more
Joseph Ritchie

Joseph Ritchie

Goldman Sachs

3 questions for CARR

Also covers: ALLE, CGNX, CNM +22 more
ND

Nicole DeBlase

Deutsche Bank

2 questions for CARR

Also covers: AME, ETN, GEV +5 more
Noah Kaye

Noah Kaye

Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

2 questions for CARR

Also covers: AAON, AMRC, BWA +16 more
SV

Stephen Volkmann

Jefferies

2 questions for CARR

Also covers: AGCO, CAT, CMI +21 more
Thomas Moll

Thomas Moll

Stephens Inc.

2 questions for CARR

Also covers: CGNX, DGII, DSGR +13 more
Tommy Moll

Tommy Moll

Stephens Inc.

2 questions for CARR

Also covers: CGNX, DGII, DSGR +12 more
JO

Joe O'Dea

Wells Fargo

1 question for CARR

Also covers: ALLE, AYI, DOV +6 more
JO

Joseph O'Dea

Wells Fargo

1 question for CARR

Also covers: DOV, FTV, HUBB +2 more

Recent press releases and 8-K filings for CARR.

Carrier announces Q4 2025 results
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
  • Full-year 2025 sales were $21.7 billion (organic –1% Y/Y), with adjusted operating profit of $3.3 billion (–7% Y/Y), adjusted EPS of $2.59 (+1% Y/Y) and free cash flow of $2.1 billion.
  • Q4 2025 sales of $4.84 billion (–6% Y/Y; organic –9%), adjusted EPS of $0.34 (–37% Y/Y) and free cash flow of $909 million.
  • Data center momentum: full-year orders up 60%, Q4 orders up 4x, and data center sales doubled to **$1 billion** in 2025; 2026 data center sales expected to grow ~50%.
  • 2026 guidance calls for ~$22 billion in sales, ~$3.4 billion adjusted operating profit, ~$2.80 adjusted EPS and ~$2 billion free cash flow.
1 day ago
Carrier reports Q4 2025 results and issues 2026 guidance
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
Demand Weakening
  • Carrier Global reported Q4 2025 sales of $4.8 billion, adjusted operating profit of $455 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.34; Q4 free cash flow was $900 million, full-year FCF $2.1 billion, and $3.7 billion returned to shareholders via buybacks/dividends.
  • Q4 organic sales fell 9%, driven by a 17% decline in the CSA segment (residential volume down ~40%, light commercial down 20%) with field inventories reduced ~30%; full-year organic sales were down 1%.
  • Commercial HVAC and aftermarket remained robust: CSA commercial sales up 12% in Q4 and global commercial HVAC up 14% for 2025; aftermarket grew double digits for the fifth consecutive year; data center business reached $1 billion with Q4 CSA data center orders up over .
  • For 2026, Carrier expects flat to low-mid single-digit organic growth with ~$22 billion in sales, $3.4 billion adjusted operating profit, $2 billion free cash flow, $2.80 adjusted EPS, and $1.5 billion in share repurchases.
1 day ago
Carrier Global reports Q4 2025 results
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Q4 sales of $4.8 billion, adjusted operating profit $455 million, adjusted EPS $0.34, and organic sales down 9%; free cash flow $900 million in Q4 and $2.1 billion for FY 2025.
  • CSA segment organic sales down 17% (commercial +12%, residential –40%, light commercial –20%); field inventories down 30% year-over-year.
  • Total company orders up 16% led by commercial HVAC orders +45% globally and CSA commercial orders +80%.
  • 2026 outlook: flat to low-mid single-digit organic growth, $22 billion in sales, $3.4 billion adjusted operating profit, $2.80 EPS, $2 billion free cash flow, and $1.5 billion in share repurchases.
  • Strategic milestones include growing data center business to $1 billion, five consecutive years of double-digit HVAC and aftermarket growth, and $3.7 billion returned to shareholders.
1 day ago
Carrier reports Q4 2025 results
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Q4 reported sales were $4.8 billion, adjusted operating profit $455 million, and adjusted EPS $0.34; full-year free cash flow was about $2.1 billion, with organic sales down 1% for 2025.
  • Commercial HVAC and aftermarket drove growth: FY commercial HVAC sales up 14%, aftermarket up double digits for the fifth consecutive year, and CSA data center business reached about $1 billion in sales; CSA Commercial orders rose 12% in Q4, with data center orders up over 5×.
  • CSA segment faced steep declines: Q4 organic sales down 17% (residential –40%, light commercial –20%), segment operating margin near 9% (10 points lower YoY), and residential field inventories lowered by roughly 30%, marking destocking as substantially complete.
  • 2026 guidance calls for flat to low-mid single-digit organic growth, reported sales of approximately $22 billion, adjusted EPS of about $2.80 (up high single digits), free cash flow near $2 billion, and $1.5 billion in planned share repurchases.
1 day ago
Carrier Global reports Q4 2025 results and 2026 outlook
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Carrier Global reported Q4 2025 net sales of $4.84 billion, down 6% (organic ‑9%); GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $0.03 and adjusted EPS of $0.34; free cash flow of $909 million.
  • For FY 2025, sales were $21.75 billion, down 3% (organic ‑1%); GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $1.69, adjusted EPS of $2.59; operating margin of 10.0% (adjusted 15.1%); returned $3.7 billion to shareholders via dividends and repurchases.
  • Outlook for 2026 includes sales of ~$22 billion, adjusted operating profit of ~$3.4 billion, adjusted EPS of ~$2.80, free cash flow of ~$2 billion, and ~$1.5 billion in share repurchases.
1 day ago
Carrier Global reports 2025 results and 2026 outlook
CARR
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Q4 2025 net sales of $4.8 billion, down 6% year-over-year; GAAP EPS of $0.03 and adjusted EPS of $0.34
  • Full-year 2025 sales of $21.75 billion, down 3%; GAAP EPS of $1.69 and adjusted EPS of $2.59
  • Free cash flow of $909 million in Q4 and $2.12 billion for the full year 2025
  • Returned $3.7 billion to shareholders in 2025, including $0.8 billion in dividends and $2.9 billion in share repurchases
  • 2026 guidance: flat to low-single-digit organic growth, adjusted EPS of ~$2.80, and free cash flow of ~$2 billion
1 day ago
Carrier outlines 2026 growth outlook at Goldman Sachs Industrials and Materials Conference
CARR
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Carrier expects double-digit growth in 40% of its portfolio (aftermarket and commercial HVAC), modest declines in containers and RESI China (10%), and flattish performance in short-cycle businesses (50%), implying ~3–4% organic revenue growth for 2026.
  • The company aims to reduce CSA-RESI field inventories by 30% YoY, leading to softer 4Q25 shipments and a ~$0.05 EPS headwind, prioritizing inventory alignment over order volumes.
  • CSA-RESI outlook remains uncertain: on flat volumes, EPS could benefit by mid-single digits due to absent destocking, but tough 1H26 comparables and cautious guidance are planned for the February call.
  • Data-center cooling bookings grew from $500 M in 2024 to $1 B in 2025, with $900 M backlog for 2026 and a 25% growth target next year, driven by new Maglev chillers and CDUs plus expanded capacity.
  • Carrier completed its $3 B share buyback in 2025 and will continue repurchases through 2026, while targeting low-single-digit price increases (<5%) in RESI Americas in 2026 to maintain pricing discipline .
Dec 4, 2025, 1:40 PM
Carrier provides 2026 growth framework at Goldman Sachs conference
CARR
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
Demand Weakening
  • Carrier expects 40% of its portfolio (aftermarket and commercial HVAC) to grow double digits in 2026, driven by share gains in chillers, and will complete a $3 billion share buyback in 2025 with continued repurchases in 2026.
  • CSA-RESI field inventories are being reduced 30% YoY to about a 7.5 million-unit run rate (versus a 9 million-unit historical mean), leading to a slight $0.05 EPS drag in Q4 25 and a conservative 1Q 26 start.
  • The 2026 revenue mix—40% high-growth, 10% headwinds (container and China RESI), and 50% short-cycle flattish segments—points to ~3–4% organic growth assuming flat shorter-cycle volumes.
  • Data center cooling doubled to ~$1 billion in 2025, enters 2026 with $900 million backlog, and targets 25% growth through new liquid-cooling and chiller wins with hyperscalers.
Dec 4, 2025, 1:40 PM
Carrier outlines 2026 growth framework at Goldman Sachs Industrials Conference
CARR
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
Demand Weakening
  • Since its spin-off, Carrier has built a balanced climate and energy solutions portfolio with 50% of revenues in the Americas and a robust aftermarket business, both expected to sustain double-digit growth into 2026.
  • CSA-RESI is facing significant destocking: North American residential channel movement was down roughly 33% in November, and Carrier aims to cut field inventories by 30% y/y in 4Q25 by selectively managing shipments.
  • For 2026, Carrier anticipates double-digit growth in 40% of its portfolio (aftermarket and commercial HVAC), a modest decline in 10% (container and China RESI), and flat performance in the remaining high-margin, short-cycle businesses, yielding overall revenue growth of 3–4%.
  • The data center segment is backed by a $900 million backlog for 2026, underpinning expected growth of about 25% in that vertical next year.
  • Carrier will complete its $3 billion share buyback in 2025 and continue repurchases through 2026, driving an estimated $0.20 EPS tailwind from capital allocation and fixed-cost reductions.
Dec 4, 2025, 1:40 PM
Carrier Global declares quarterly dividend increase to $0.24 per share
CARR
Dividends
  • Carrier Global’s Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, payable February 9, 2026, to shareholders of record on January 20, 2026.
  • This dividend marks a 200% increase since the company’s spin-off in early 2020, underscoring its disciplined capital allocation approach.
  • CEO David Gitlin emphasized the commitment to returning capital to shareholders while continuing to invest in the business.
Dec 3, 2025, 9:15 PM