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EXPAND ENERGY (EXE)

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Earnings summaries and quarterly performance for EXPAND ENERGY.

Recent press releases and 8-K filings for EXE.

Expand Energy Discusses Natural Gas Outlook and Strategy at Goldman Sachs Conference
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • Expand Energy (EXE) maintains a constructive outlook on natural gas macro, anticipating volatility but also opportunities, with mid-cycle price expectations of $3.50-$4 for 2026 and 2027.
  • The company was surprised by the significant U.S. natural gas production growth in 2025, particularly from Haynesville, and questions its sustainability at current price levels, noting the marginal break-even for growth is above $3.50.
  • EXE employs a "Hedge-to-Wedge" strategy, hedging for an eight-quarter period using collars and swaps to protect capital and reduce cash flow volatility.
  • Expand Energy's capital allocation is stable between Marcellus and Haynesville, with a focus on optimizing cash flow at mid-cycle prices and developing the Western Haynesville as a new, high-cost but strategically advantageous area.
  • The company believes the traditional Haynesville can only grow a few more Bcf/d, and future demand growth will necessitate activating higher-cost assets, potentially requiring $4-$4.50 to incentivize supply.
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM
Expand Energy (EXE) Discusses Natural Gas Outlook and Strategy
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
M&A
  • Expand Energy (EXE) maintains a constructive outlook on the natural gas macro for 2026 and 2027, anticipating volatility with opportunities and positioning its portfolio with low-cost assets and strong inventory.
  • The company employs a "Hedge-to-wedge" strategy, hedging eight quarters forward to manage near-term price risk and protect capital, particularly when the forward curve exceeds its mid-cycle price expectation of $3.50-$4.
  • Expand's capital allocation is stable between the Marcellus and Haynesville, aiming for 7.5 Bcf/day total production optimized for $3.50-$4 mid-cycle prices. The company is also developing the Western Haynesville, having acquired inventory at under $1 million per location.
  • While U.S. natural gas production, led by Haynesville, saw significant growth in the past year, the sustainability of this growth at current price levels is questioned, with the marginal break-even for growth estimated above $3.50.
  • Expand believes the traditional Haynesville core can add a few more Bcf/day, but significant future supply growth to meet demand will require activating higher-cost assets, potentially needing $4-$4.50.
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM
Expand Energy Discusses Natural Gas Strategy and Market Outlook
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
M&A
  • Expand Energy's CEO, Nick Dell'Osso, maintains a constructive macro outlook for natural gas, expecting volatility but with opportunities, and notes the 2026 and 2027 forward strip aligns with their mid-cycle price expectations of $3.50-$4.
  • The company utilizes a "Hedge-to-wedge" strategy, hedging for an eight-quarter period with collars and swaps to protect capital and manage near-term price risk, aiming to reduce cash flow volatility.
  • Expand Energy's capital allocation between Marcellus and Haynesville is stable, designed to optimize cash flow at $3.50-$4 mid-cycle prices.
  • The company is developing the Western Haynesville, having acquired acreage at a cost well under $1 million per location, significantly below other Haynesville transactions, and plans to leverage its experience to be a cost leader in this high-cost area.
  • Dell'Osso believes the traditional Haynesville cannot fully meet the projected 18 Bcf/d of additional U.S. gas demand over the next few years, suggesting that $4-$4.50 prices will be necessary to activate higher-cost assets to meet this demand.
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM
Expand Energy Discusses Natural Gas Outlook, Capital Allocation, and Operational Efficiencies
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • Expand Energy maintains a constructive outlook on the natural gas macro, expecting 4 BCF/day of incremental LNG demand from 2025 to 2026, with the Golden Pass facility anticipated to start up in February.
  • The company is prioritizing balance sheet strength, targeting at least $1 billion in net debt reduction for 2026, following a $1 billion reduction in the current year, with an aim to achieve negative net debt to enable future share buybacks.
  • For 2026, Expand Energy provides soft guidance of 7.5 BCF/day production with a reduced capital budget of $2.85 billion, down from an initial $3 billion.
  • Operational efficiencies in the Haynesville have led to an increased synergy target of $600 million per annum by year two and a 15% reduction in overall well cost compared to 2024, despite increased proppant intensity.
  • The company has secured a low-cost entry into a new East Texas asset (Western Haynesville), acquiring 75,000 acres for less than $180 million, which offers future growth options and access to new consumer markets.
Nov 20, 2025, 5:00 PM
Expand Energy Discusses Macro Outlook, Capital Allocation, and Operational Efficiencies
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • Expand Energy maintains a constructive natural gas macro outlook, anticipating 4 BCF a day of incremental LNG demand year-over-year from 2025 to 2026, with the Golden Pass facility expected to start up around February.
  • The company prioritizes balance sheet strength, targeting at least $1 billion in net debt reduction for 2026, aiming for negative net debt to enable future share buybacks during bearish cycles.
  • Operational efficiencies in the Haynesville have led to an increased synergy target of $600 million per annum by year two post-merger and a $150 million reduction in the current year's capital budget. The 2026 production target of 7.5 BCF a day is now achievable for $2.85 billion, down from an initial $3 billion.
  • Expand Energy acquired 75,000 acres in the Western Haynesville for less than $180 million, viewing it as a low-cost growth option with access to new consumer markets.
  • The company is actively pursuing a marketing strategy to achieve higher prices, facilitate new demand (e.g., the Lake Charles Methanol deal), and reduce cash flow volatility, expecting 11 BCF a day of incremental demand growth in Louisiana/East Texas by 2030.
Nov 20, 2025, 5:00 PM
Expand Energy Discusses 2026 Outlook, Debt Reduction, and Growth Initiatives
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
Revenue Acceleration/Inflection
  • Expand Energy is prioritizing a strong balance sheet, targeting at least $1 billion in net debt reduction for 2026, aiming for negative net debt to enhance flexibility through market cycles.
  • The company has increased its synergy target from the Southwestern merger to $600 million per annum by year two, predominantly from Haynesville efficiencies, leading to a 25% reduction in well cost since 2023.
  • For 2026, Expand Energy projects 7.5 BCF/day in production with a capital budget of $2.85 billion, a reduction from the initial $3 billion estimate, which now includes appraisal capital for its new East Texas asset.
  • Expand Energy acquired 75,000 acres in East Texas for less than $180 million, viewing it as a low-cost entry with potential for 200 wells at approximately $800,000 per location, significantly lower than recent Haynesville transactions.
  • The company is actively pursuing marketing strategies to achieve higher product prices, facilitate new demand (e.g., Lake Charles Methanol deal), and reduce cash flow volatility, anticipating 11 BCF/day of incremental demand growth in the Louisiana and East Texas region by 2030.
Nov 20, 2025, 5:00 PM
EXE Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results, Reduces FY25 Capex, and Enhances Capital Returns
EXE
Earnings
Guidance Update
Dividends
  • EXE reported strong financial performance for Q3 2025, with approximately $1.1 billion in Adjusted EBITDAX and $426 million in Free Cash Flow.
  • The company further reduced its FY25 capital expenditure guidance by ~$75 million, with the total FY25E Capex now projected between $2,775 million and $2,925 million.
  • EXE achieved approximately $1.2 billion in gross debt reduction over the last 12 months and upsized its credit facility to $3.5 billion, extending its maturity to 2030. Net Debt as of September 30, 2025, was $4,412 million.
  • A 15-year Sales and Purchase Agreement (SPA) was signed with Lake Charles Methanol, positioning EXE as the sole natural gas supplier for a new facility starting around 2030. The company also outlined an enhanced capital returns framework, including an annual base dividend of $2.30/share and allocating $1 billion to net debt reduction.
Oct 29, 2025, 1:00 PM
Expand Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Significant Cost Reductions and Updated Guidance
EXE
Earnings
Guidance Update
Share Buyback
  • Expand Energy reported substantial cost reductions and efficiency gains in Q3 2025, with well costs decreasing by greater than 25% since the merger and year-to-date costs being 30% lower than peers.
  • The company has updated its 2025 guidance, now expecting to spend $150 million less while delivering 50 million cubic feet per day more production compared to its initial guidance.
  • For 2026, Expand Energy anticipates delivering 7.5 BCF per day of production with capital expenditures similar to 2025, estimated at $2.8 billion to $2.9 billion.
  • Since the merger, Expand Energy has eliminated $1.2 billion in gross debt and returned nearly $850 million to shareholders.
  • Breakeven costs have improved, with the Hanzo asset's annual free cash flow breakeven now below $3, representing an improvement of over $0.15 since pre-merger 2024.
Oct 29, 2025, 1:00 PM
Expand Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance, Exceeds Synergy Targets, and Updates 2025/2026 Guidance
EXE
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
Earnings
  • Expand Energy reported significant efficiency gains in Q3 2025, reducing well costs by over 25% and achieving year-to-date costs 30% lower than peers, leading to 50% more synergies than original targets.
  • The company strengthened its financial position by eliminating $1.2 billion in gross debt and returning nearly $850 million to shareholders.
  • For 2025, Expand Energy now expects to spend $150 million less while delivering 50 million cubic feet per day more production compared to initial guidance.
  • Looking to 2026, the company is prepared to deliver 7.5 bcf/d of production with approximately the same capital expenditure as 2025 (estimated $2.8 billion-$2.9 billion), reflecting sustained efficiency improvements.
  • Breakevens for the Hanzo asset average less than $2.75, and the company-wide breakeven is now well below $3, an improvement of over $0.15 since pre-merger 2024. Expand Energy also announced a long-term supply agreement with Lake Charles Methanol at a premium to NYMEX, demonstrating its evolving marketing strategy.
Oct 29, 2025, 1:00 PM
Expand Energy Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Updates Guidance
EXE
Earnings
Guidance Update
New Projects/Investments
  • Expand Energy Corporation reported net income of $547 million and net cash provided by operating activities of $1,201 million for the third quarter of 2025.
  • The company updated its full-year 2025 guidance, reducing the midpoint of capital expenditures by $75 million to $2.85 billion and increasing the midpoint of production guidance by 50 MMcfe/d to 7.15 Bcfe/d.
  • Strategic developments include signing a 15-year SPA with Lake Charles Methanol to serve as the sole gas supplier starting around 2030, and acquiring approximately 82,500 net acres of value-accretive leasehold across Western Haynesville and Southwest Appalachia in the second half of 2025.
  • Expand Energy enhanced its liquidity by upsizing its credit facility to $3.5 billion, extending its maturity to 2030, and expects to allocate $500 million to net debt paydown during the second half of 2025.
Oct 28, 2025, 8:02 PM