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    Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH)

    Parker-Hannifin Corporation is a global leader in motion and control technologies, offering highly engineered solutions across various markets, including aerospace and defense, industrial equipment, transportation, energy, and HVAC and refrigeration . The company operates through two main business segments: Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems, providing products such as motion-control systems, hydraulic and pneumatic components, and thermal management systems . Parker-Hannifin's offerings cater to both commercial and military applications, ensuring comprehensive solutions for manufacturing, transportation, and military machinery .

    1. Diversified Industrial Segment - Provides motion-control systems and components used in manufacturing, packaging, processing, transportation, and military machinery .

      • Motion Systems - Develops systems for precise control and movement in various industrial applications.
      • Flow and Process Control - Offers solutions for managing the flow and processing of fluids and gases.
      • Filtration and Engineered Materials - Supplies filtration systems and engineered materials for diverse industrial uses.
    2. Aerospace Systems Segment - Designs and manufactures products for commercial and military aircraft, including hydraulic, pneumatic, fuel, oil, actuation, sensing, braking, thermal management, and electric power applications .

      • Commercial OEM - Provides original equipment manufacturing solutions for commercial aircraft.
      • Commercial Aftermarket - Offers aftermarket services and products for commercial aviation.
      • Defense OEM - Supplies original equipment for military aircraft.
      • Defense Aftermarket - Delivers aftermarket support and products for military aviation.
    Initial Price$555.79March 30, 2024
    Final Price$505.81June 30, 2024
    Price Change$-49.98
    % Change-8.99%

    What went well

    • The company has achieved its target net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage of 2.0, positioning it to pursue strategic M&A opportunities that are accretive to margins and earnings, while maintaining commitments to share buybacks and dividends.
    • Orders have improved, with total company order rates turning positive to 1% in Q4, and Industrial North America orders improving to 0%, indicating that destocking in the distribution channel may have played out and signaling potential growth ahead.
    • The upcoming divestiture of the North American composites business is expected to be accretive to margins, with an enterprise value of $560 million, demonstrating the company's focus on optimizing its portfolio and enhancing profitability.

    What went wrong

    • Parker-Hannifin's growth forecast relies heavily on an expected gradual recovery in industrial markets in the second half of FY '25, which may be optimistic given ongoing uncertainties. The company admits that the anticipated growth uptick is based mainly on "easier comps" rather than actual improvements in demand, and they are "not actually seeing [distributors] add inventory" yet. ,
    • The company's reliance on the Aerospace segment for growth poses a risk, as the Industrial businesses are expected to be down in the first half of the fiscal year. Overreliance on Aerospace may be risky if aerospace markets soften, and any cyclical downturn in this segment could significantly impact overall performance. ,
    • Achieving the margin expansion targets "isn't easy" according to management, indicating potential execution risks. Despite strong exit margins, the company is not guiding to further significant margin expansion, suggesting limited upside and the potential for margin contraction if growth does not materialize as expected.

    Q&A Summary

    1. Margin Outlook
      Q: Why aren't margins higher given strong exit rates?
      A: Management noted that despite record margins in Q4, their guidance reflects realistic expectations and continued margin expansion is not easy. They expect 50 basis points of segment operating income expansion, with the majority coming from gross margin improvement.

    2. Industrial Recovery
      Q: Why does industrial growth turn positive in Q2?
      A: They explained that order rates improved, with Industrial North America orders moving to zero in Q4 after five quarters of negative orders. They expect a gradual industrial recovery, with comps 2% easier in Q2.

    3. Aerospace Performance
      Q: What's the outlook for Aerospace segments in FY '25?
      A: Management forecasts Aerospace organic growth at 8.5% , driven by high single-digit growth in commercial OE and low double-digit growth in commercial aftermarket. Margins are expected to expand by 100 basis points to around 27.5%, supported by strong aftermarket performance.

    4. Capital Deployment and M&A
      Q: What's the plan for M&A and capital deployment?
      A: They are focused on paying down debt but continue to work on the M&A pipeline. They target deals accretive to growth, margins, cash flow, and EPS. Share buybacks remain at a minimum of $200 million a year.

    5. Divestiture Impact
      Q: Will recent divestiture be margin accretive?
      A: Yes, the divestiture will be margin accretive. The business, with $560 million in enterprise value , will all come out of the Industrial North America segment. The sale reflects trimming non-core operations to improve the portfolio.

    6. Order Trends
      Q: Did orders outperform expectations?
      A: Orders improved in Q4, with North American industrial orders turning zero after being negative. This supports their organic growth guidance, but management did not provide additional details on order cadence.

    7. International Markets
      Q: What's the outlook for Europe and China?
      A: The guidance assumes Asia Pacific turns positive, offset by continued weakness in Europe. European growth is expected to be neutral for FY '25 , while China showed improvement to negative low single digits in Q4 orders due to some project orders.

    8. Meggitt Synergies
      Q: What's the status of Meggitt synergies?
      A: They achieved $200 million in accumulated synergies at the end of FY '24 and are committed to $300 million, with $50 million incremental in FY '25 and another $50 million in FY '26.

    9. Gross Margin Improvement
      Q: Are you embedding higher gross margins in FY '25?
      A: Yes, they expect the majority of the 50 basis points of segment operating income expansion to come from gross margin improvement.

    10. Aerospace Mix Impact
      Q: Should we worry about margin headwinds if aftermarket/OE mix changes?
      A: Management is not concerned, citing strong visibility and confidence in continued air traffic growth.

    11. Filtration and Engineered Materials Stability
      Q: Why have filtration and engineered materials remained stable?
      A: Acquisitions increased aftermarket exposure and added longer-cycle businesses, making these segments more resilient. This has led to margin expansion across all businesses.

    12. Debt Leverage and Share Buybacks
      Q: What's your leverage target before increasing M&A?
      A: They aim to operate around 2.0 net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage. They will continue paying down debt and are open to share buybacks if M&A opportunities don't align.

    13. Off-Highway Outlook
      Q: What's the outlook for off-highway and OE inventories?
      A: Management expects continued softness in off-highway throughout the year and transportation softness in the first half. They did not provide specific details on OE inventories.

    14. Order Visibility
      Q: What's your visibility into second-half revenue guidance?
      A: They expect a gradual industrial recovery based on improving orders and easier comps, with strong Aerospace backlog providing visibility.

    15. Margin Contribution from Business Segments
      Q: How do margins vary among industrial verticals?
      A: Management did not disclose specific margins but stated that all businesses contribute to record margins and cash flow generation.

    16. Pricing Environment
      Q: Are you seeing any new pricing actions?
      A: They are back to a normal pricing environment, with growth uptick mainly due to easier comps and gradual industrial recovery.

    NamePositionStart DateShort Bio
    Jennifer A. ParmentierChairman of the Board and Chief Executive OfficerJanuary 2024Jennifer A. Parmentier has been the Chairman of the Board since January 2024 and the Chief Executive Officer since January 2023. She joined Parker in 2008 and has held various leadership roles .
    Todd M. LeombrunoExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerJanuary 2021Todd M. Leombruno has been serving as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since January 2021. He was previously Vice President and Controller from July 2017 to January 2021 .
    Andrew D. RossPresident and Chief Operating OfficerJanuary 1, 2024Andrew D. Ross has been serving as the President and Chief Operating Officer since January 1, 2024. He was previously Vice President and President of the Fluid Connectors Group .
    Mark J. HartExecutive Vice President – Human Resources and External AffairsJanuary 2016Mark J. Hart has been serving as the Executive Vice President – Human Resources and External Affairs since January 2016. He was previously Vice President - Total Rewards .
    Rachid BendaliVice President and President – Engineered Materials GroupAugust 2022Rachid Bendali has been serving as the Vice President and President of the Engineered Materials Group since August 2022. He joined Parker through the acquisition of LORD Corporation .
    Berend BrachtVice President and President – Motion Systems GroupAugust 2021Berend Bracht has been serving as Vice President and President of the Motion Systems Group since August 2021. He was previously Vice President of Operations for the Engineered Materials Group .
    Mark T. CzajaVice President – Chief Technology and Innovation OfficerJanuary 2021Mark T. Czaja has been serving as the Vice President – Chief Technology and Innovation Officer since January 2021. He was previously Vice President of Technology and Innovation for the Motion Systems Group .
    Thomas C. GentileVice President – Global Supply ChainJuly 2017Thomas C. Gentile has been serving as Vice President – Global Supply Chain since July 2017. He was previously General Manager of the Company's Process Filtration Division .
    Angela R. IvesVice President and ControllerJanuary 2021Angela R. Ives has been serving as Vice President and Controller since January 2021. She was previously Vice President, Assistant Controller .
    Joseph R. LeontiVice President, General Counsel and SecretaryJuly 2014Joseph R. Leonti has been serving as the Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary since July 2014. He was previously Assistant Secretary .
    Robert W. MaloneVice President and President – Filtration GroupDecember 2014Robert W. Malone has been serving as Vice President and President of the Filtration Group since December 2014. He was previously Vice President of Operations for the Filtration Group .
    Dinu J. ParelVice President – Chief Digital and Information OfficerOctober 2020Dinu J. Parel has been serving as the Vice President – Chief Digital and Information Officer since October 2020. He was previously Vice President and Chief Information Officer .
    Jay P. ReidyVice President and President – Aerospace GroupJanuary 2024Jay P. Reidy has been serving as Vice President and President of the Aerospace Group since January 2024. He was previously Vice President of Operations for the Aerospace Group .
    Patrick M. ScottVice President and President – Fluid Connectors GroupJanuary 2024Patrick M. Scott has been serving as the Vice President and President of the Fluid Connectors Group since January 2024. He was previously Vice President of Operations for the Aerospace Group .
    1. Given that you expect Industrial North America to turn slightly positive in Q2 despite ongoing market softness, what specific factors give you confidence in this outlook, and how sustainable is this anticipated improvement?

    2. With the recent divestiture of the North American composites business and mentions of potential future portfolio optimization, how do you balance divesting non-core assets with the need to achieve your fiscal '29 targets, particularly regarding margin expansion and growth? ,

    3. As you've achieved your net debt to adjusted EBITDA target of 2.0x, can you elaborate on your capital deployment priorities, specifically regarding potential M&A opportunities versus share buybacks, and how do you ensure that any future acquisitions meet your criteria for top-line growth and margin accretion?

    4. The Filtration and Engineered Materials platforms have shown remarkable stability compared to other segments; can you discuss whether this resilience is sustainable in the long term, and what impact could changing market conditions have on margins in these businesses?

    5. You have increased the Meggitt synergy targets to $300 million by FY '26; what challenges do you foresee in realizing these additional synergies, and how confident are you in achieving the incremental $100 million over the next two years?

    Program DetailsProgram 1
    Approval DateOctober 22, 2014
    End Date/DurationNo expiration date
    Total additional amount35 million shares
    Remaining authorization amount7,224,513 shares
    DetailsShares repurchased are funded primarily from operating cash flows and commercial paper borrowings. Shares are initially held as treasury shares. No limitation on the number of shares that can be repurchased in a fiscal year.

    Q1 2025 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q1 2025
    • Guided Period: FY 2025
    • Guidance:
      1. Reported Sales Growth: 1.5% to 4.5%, midpoint 3% (~$20.5 billion) .
      2. Organic Growth: 2% to 5%, midpoint 3.5% .
      3. North American Organic Growth: 2% at midpoint .
      4. International Organic Growth: 1.5% at midpoint .
      5. Currency Impact: Headwind of 0.5% (~$100 million) .
      6. Margin Expansion: 50 basis points .
      7. Adjusted Segment Operating Margin: 25.4% at midpoint .
      8. Corporate G&A Expense: ~$230 million .
      9. Interest Expense: $450 million .
      10. Other Expense: ~$5 million .
      11. Tax Rate: 23% .
      12. EPS: As-reported $23, adjusted $26.65 .
      13. Cash Flow: $3 billion to $3.3 billion, midpoint $3.15 billion .
      14. Free Cash Flow Conversion: >100% .
      15. Q1 Specifics: Reported sales growth 1%, organic growth 1.5%, adjusted segment margins 25.2%, adjusted EPS $6.05 .

    Q4 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q4 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2025
    • Guidance:
      1. Sales Growth: Reported 1.5% to 4.5%, midpoint 3% (~$20.5 billion) .
      2. Organic Growth: 2% to 5%, midpoint 3.5% .
      3. Aerospace Growth: ~8.5% .
      4. North American Organic Growth: 2% at midpoint .
      5. International Organic Growth: 1.5% at midpoint .
      6. Currency Impact: Headwind of 0.5% (~$100 million) .
      7. Margins: Margin expansion 50 basis points, adjusted segment operating margin 25.4% .
      8. Expenses: Corporate G&A ~$230 million, interest $450 million, other ~$5 million .
      9. Tax Rate: 23% .
      10. EPS: As-reported $23, adjusted $26.65 .
      11. Cash Flow: $3 billion to $3.3 billion, midpoint $3.15 billion .
      12. Free Cash Flow Conversion: >100% .
      13. Quarterly Guidance for Q1 FY '25: Reported sales +1%, organic growth 1.5%, adjusted segment margins 25.2%, adjusted EPS $6.05 .

    Q3 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q3 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024 and FY 2025
    • Guidance:
      1. Full Year Organic Growth: Midpoint 1.5%, aerospace 15%, North America and international -2.5% .
      2. Reported Sales Growth: 4% at midpoint .
      3. Adjusted Segment Operating Margins: 24.6% .
      4. Tax Rate: 22% .
      5. Full Year As-Reported EPS: $20.90 .
      6. Full Year Adjusted EPS: $24.75 .
      7. Fourth Quarter Adjusted EPS: $6.13 .
      8. Free Cash Flow: >$3 billion .
      9. Debt Reduction: $2 billion, net leverage 2x by June .

    Q2 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q2 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Sales Growth: Reported 3% to 5%, midpoint 4% .
      2. Aerospace Organic Growth: 12% .
      3. International Organic Growth: -2% .
      4. North American Organic Growth: -1.5% .
      5. Full Year Organic Growth: 1.5% .
      6. Margins: Adjusted segment operating margin 24.3% .
      7. EPS: As-reported $20.30, adjusted $24.20 .
      8. FY '24 Q3 Adjusted EPS: $6.00 .
      9. Tax Rate: 22.5%, second half 23.7% .
      10. Debt and Leverage: $2 billion debt pay down, net leverage 2.0x by June .
      11. Free Cash Flow: $2.8 billion to $3.1 billion, midpoint $3 billion .

    Competitors mentioned in the company's latest 10K filing.

    • Bosch Rexroth AG - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Danaher Corporation - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Danfoss A/S - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Donaldson Company, Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Emerson Climate Technologies, Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Emerson/ASCO - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Festo AG & Co. - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Freudenberg-NOK - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Gates Corporation - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • IMI/Norgren - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • SMC Corporation - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Swagelok Company - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Trelleborg AB - Primary global competitor in the Diversified Industrial Segment .
    • Crane Co. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Eaton Corporation plc - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Honeywell International, Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Moog Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • RTX Corporation - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Safran S.A. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Senior plc - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Triumph Group, Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .
    • Woodward, Inc. - Primary global competitor in the Aerospace Systems Segment .